Main menu
Avalanche bulletin for Monday, 17 February 2020
A generally favourable avalanche situation will prevail. Wind slabs require caution
Edition: Mo. 17.02., 08:00 Next update: Mo. 17.02., 17:00 Validity
Avalanche bulletin for Monday, 17 February 2020
A generally favourable avalanche situation will prevail. Wind slabs require caution
Edition Su. 16.02., 17:00 Next update Mo. 17.02., 18:00 Validity
Avalanche bulletin for Monday, 17 February 2020
A generally favourable avalanche situation will prevail. Wind slabs require caution
Edition Mo. 17.02., 08:00 Next update Mo. 17.02., 17:00 Validity
Avalanche bulletin for Monday, 17 February 2020
A generally favourable avalanche situation will prevail. Wind slabs require caution
Edition Mo. 17.02., 08:00 Next update Mo. 17.02., 17:00 Validity
Level 1, low
Wet avalanches
As a consequence of the rain moist snow slides are possible. Mostly these are small. Restraint should be exercised because avalanches can sweep people along and give rise to falls.
Wind slabs
Wind slabs are in individual cases still prone to triggering at elevated altitudes. They are small. They are to be evaluated with care and prudence in particular in extreme terrain. Restraint should be exercised because avalanches can sweep people along and give rise to falls.
Level 1, low
No distinct avalanche problem
Older wind slabs are in individual cases still prone to triggering at elevated altitudes. They are small. They are to be evaluated with care and prudence in particular in extreme terrain. Restraint should be exercised because avalanches can sweep people along and give rise to falls.
Level 2, moderate
Old snow, wind slabs
Avalanche prone locations
In particular in southwest to north to southeast facing aspects above approximately 2200m.
Danger description
Avalanches can in isolated cases be released in the weakly bonded old snow. They can reach dangerously large size. These avalanche prone locations are rather rare and are difficult to recognise. Isolated whumpfing sounds can indicate the danger.
In addition rather small wind slabs formed. These can be released by a single winter sport participant.
Backcountry touring and other off-piste activities call for careful route selection.
Level 2, moderate
Wind slabs
Avalanche prone locations
In particular in west to north to southeast facing aspects above approximately 2000m.
Danger description
As a consequence of a strong southwesterly wind, further wind slabs will form in particular on north and east facing slopes. They are clearly recognisable to the trained eye. The rather small wind slabs are to be evaluated with care and prudence in steep terrain. Avalanches can in some places be released by a single winter sport participant and reach medium size. Backcountry touring and snowshoe hiking call for careful route selection.
Wet avalanches
As a consequence of the rain gliding avalanches and moist snow slides are possible.
Level 2, moderate
Wind slabs
Avalanche prone locations
In particular in west to north to southeast facing aspects above approximately 2200m.
Danger description
As a consequence of a sometimes strong southwesterly wind, sometimes avalanche prone wind slabs formed in particular on north and east facing slopes. They are clearly recognisable to the trained eye. They are to be evaluated with care and prudence in steep terrain. Avalanches can in some places be released by a single winter sport participant and reach medium size. Backcountry touring and other off-piste activities call for careful route selection.
Level 1, low
Wet avalanches
As a consequence of the rain moist snow slides are possible. Mostly these are small. Restraint should be exercised because avalanches can sweep people along and give rise to falls.
Level 2, moderate
Wind slabs
Avalanche prone locations
In particular in west to north to southeast facing aspects above approximately 2400m.
Danger description
The mostly small wind slabs are in some cases prone to triggering. They are clearly recognisable to the trained eye. They are to be evaluated with care and prudence in particular in very steep terrain. Apart from the danger of being buried, restraint should be exercised as well in view of the danger of avalanches sweeping people along and giving rise to falls.
A generally favourable avalanche situation will prevail. Wind slabs require caution
Edition: 16.2.2020, 17:00 / Next update: 17.2.2020, 18:00
Snowpack
As a result of strong-velocity southwesterly winds, some amounts of old snow are being transported at high altitudes in the
northern regions. Relatively small-sized snowdrift accumulations are being generated which are prone to triggering.
As a consequence of solar radiation, higher temperatures and diffuse radiation conditions, the snowpack surface on sunny slopes has become moist up to nearly 3000 m, on shady slopes up to 2400 m. During the nocturnal hours on Sunday, a generally breakable crust is expected to form.
More deeply embedded inside the snowpack, particularly in the inneralpine regions of Grisons and to some extent also in the Valais, there are weak layers evident. These are, for the most part, layers of currently snow-covered, expansively metamorphosed (faceted) crystals which formed on the snowpack surface during the long period of fine weather in January; or else (somewhat higher up in the snowpack structure) weak layers in the vicinity of crusts. As stability tests and avalanches have demonstrated, avalanche releases are possible in these layers.
As a consequence of solar radiation, higher temperatures and diffuse radiation conditions, the snowpack surface on sunny slopes has become moist up to nearly 3000 m, on shady slopes up to 2400 m. During the nocturnal hours on Sunday, a generally breakable crust is expected to form.
More deeply embedded inside the snowpack, particularly in the inneralpine regions of Grisons and to some extent also in the Valais, there are weak layers evident. These are, for the most part, layers of currently snow-covered, expansively metamorphosed (faceted) crystals which formed on the snowpack surface during the long period of fine weather in January; or else (somewhat higher up in the snowpack structure) weak layers in the vicinity of crusts. As stability tests and avalanches have demonstrated, avalanche releases are possible in these layers.
Observed weather on Sunday, 16.02.2020
Following a night of predominantly clear skies, high-altitude thin clouds moved in rapidly. Extended bright intervals followed
in Ticino and in Grisons more than anywhere else.
Fresh snow
-
Temperature
At midday at 2000 m, between +1 °C in the Ticino and +7 °C in the remaining regions of Switzerland.
Wind
Winds were southerly to southwesterly,
- on the northern Alpine Ridge from Chablais into the Urner Alps blowing at moderate to strong velocity;
-
in the other regions of Switzerland blowing generally at light to moderate strength.
Weather forecast through Monday, 17.02.2020
In the early morning hours it will be partly sunny in the Alps. During the course of the day, cloud cover will move in from
the northwest. At midday in the Jura region, and in the afternoon over the entire northern flank of the Alps and in the Lower
Valais, precipitation is expected to set in. The snowfall level will descend from 1800 m down to 1200 m.
Fresh snow
Between Monday midday and Monday evening in the western sector of the northern flank of the Alps, in the western and northern
parts of Lower Valais and on the highest summits of the Jura region, a few centimetres of snowfall is anticipated.
Temperature
At midday at 2000 m,
- in the northern regions, +3 °C, descending to -2 °C in the afternoon.
-
In the southern regions, -2 °C.
Wind
Winds will be southerly to southwesterly,
-
in the northern regions and in general at high altitudes, blowing at moderate to strong velocity;
-
in the other regions of Switzerland blowing at light to moderate strength.
Outlook through Wednesday, 19.02.2020
Tuesday
On Monday night in the northern regions and in the Valais, a small amount of snowfall is anticipated. The snowfall level is
expected to descend to approximately 800 m. In the early morning hours in the eastern regions, the snowfall will come to an
end. Otherwise it will be rather sunny in the northern regions, predominantly so in the Alps and in the southern regions.
Avalanche danger could increase somewhat in the northern regions and the Jura region as Tuesday approaches. Otherwise, avalanche danger levels are not expected to change significantly.
Avalanche danger could increase somewhat in the northern regions and the Jura region as Tuesday approaches. Otherwise, avalanche danger levels are not expected to change significantly.
Wednesday
In the northern regions, a small amount of snowfall is anticipated above approximately 600 m. On the southern flank of the
Alps it will be intermittently sunny. At high altitudes, a strong-velocity northwesterly wind will be blowing. As a result
of fresh snow and winds, avalanche danger could increase somewhat on the northern flank of the Alps more than anywhere else.
In the remaining regions of Switzerland, danger levels are not expected to change significantly.
Your observations can improve the quality of the avalanche bulletin. We are very grateful for any reports and photos received.
Please report your observations of avalanches or alarm signs, or your estimation of the avalanche danger, or simply send us a picture illustrating the current situation. Your report from the field will be considered along with all the other information when we assess the avalanche danger. It is impossible, however, to reflect the exact content of each individual report in the avalanche bulletin.
The best way to file a report is by completing the interactive form on this page. If your report is to be used in the 5 pm avalanche bulletin, it should be submitted before 2:30 pm if possible. Reports received later will normally be given consideration in the next assessment.
Other reporting options:
- White Risk App
- E-mail to lwp(at)slf.ch
- Freephone number 0800 800 187
A generally favourable avalanche situation will prevail. Wind slabs require caution
Edition: 16.2.2020, 17:00 / Next update: 17.2.2020, 18:00
Snowpack
As a result of strong-velocity southwesterly winds, some amounts of old snow are being transported at high altitudes in the
northern regions. Relatively small-sized snowdrift accumulations are being generated which are prone to triggering.
As a consequence of solar radiation, higher temperatures and diffuse radiation conditions, the snowpack surface on sunny slopes has become moist up to nearly 3000 m, on shady slopes up to 2400 m. During the nocturnal hours on Sunday, a generally breakable crust is expected to form.
More deeply embedded inside the snowpack, particularly in the inneralpine regions of Grisons and to some extent also in the Valais, there are weak layers evident. These are, for the most part, layers of currently snow-covered, expansively metamorphosed (faceted) crystals which formed on the snowpack surface during the long period of fine weather in January; or else (somewhat higher up in the snowpack structure) weak layers in the vicinity of crusts. As stability tests and avalanches have demonstrated, avalanche releases are possible in these layers.
As a consequence of solar radiation, higher temperatures and diffuse radiation conditions, the snowpack surface on sunny slopes has become moist up to nearly 3000 m, on shady slopes up to 2400 m. During the nocturnal hours on Sunday, a generally breakable crust is expected to form.
More deeply embedded inside the snowpack, particularly in the inneralpine regions of Grisons and to some extent also in the Valais, there are weak layers evident. These are, for the most part, layers of currently snow-covered, expansively metamorphosed (faceted) crystals which formed on the snowpack surface during the long period of fine weather in January; or else (somewhat higher up in the snowpack structure) weak layers in the vicinity of crusts. As stability tests and avalanches have demonstrated, avalanche releases are possible in these layers.
Observed weather on Sunday, 16.02.2020
Following a night of predominantly clear skies, high-altitude thin clouds moved in rapidly. Extended bright intervals followed
in Ticino and in Grisons more than anywhere else.
Fresh snow
-
Temperature
At midday at 2000 m, between +1 °C in the Ticino and +7 °C in the remaining regions of Switzerland.
Wind
Winds were southerly to southwesterly,
- on the northern Alpine Ridge from Chablais into the Urner Alps blowing at moderate to strong velocity;
-
in the other regions of Switzerland blowing generally at light to moderate strength.
Weather forecast through Monday, 17.02.2020
In the early morning hours it will be partly sunny in the Alps. During the course of the day, cloud cover will move in from
the northwest. At midday in the Jura region, and in the afternoon over the entire northern flank of the Alps and in the Lower
Valais, precipitation is expected to set in. The snowfall level will descend from 1800 m down to 1200 m.
Fresh snow
Between Monday midday and Monday evening in the western sector of the northern flank of the Alps, in the western and northern
parts of Lower Valais and on the highest summits of the Jura region, a few centimetres of snowfall is anticipated.
Temperature
At midday at 2000 m,
- in the northern regions, +3 °C, descending to -2 °C in the afternoon.
-
In the southern regions, -2 °C.
Wind
Winds will be southerly to southwesterly,
-
in the northern regions and in general at high altitudes, blowing at moderate to strong velocity;
-
in the other regions of Switzerland blowing at light to moderate strength.
Outlook through Wednesday, 19.02.2020
Tuesday
On Monday night in the northern regions and in the Valais, a small amount of snowfall is anticipated. The snowfall level is
expected to descend to approximately 800 m. In the early morning hours in the eastern regions, the snowfall will come to an
end. Otherwise it will be rather sunny in the northern regions, predominantly so in the Alps and in the southern regions.
Avalanche danger could increase somewhat in the northern regions and the Jura region as Tuesday approaches. Otherwise, avalanche danger levels are not expected to change significantly.
Avalanche danger could increase somewhat in the northern regions and the Jura region as Tuesday approaches. Otherwise, avalanche danger levels are not expected to change significantly.
Wednesday
In the northern regions, a small amount of snowfall is anticipated above approximately 600 m. On the southern flank of the
Alps it will be intermittently sunny. At high altitudes, a strong-velocity northwesterly wind will be blowing. As a result
of fresh snow and winds, avalanche danger could increase somewhat on the northern flank of the Alps more than anywhere else.
In the remaining regions of Switzerland, danger levels are not expected to change significantly.
Have you observed alarm signs or an avalanche?
Your observations can improve the quality of the avalanche bulletin. We are very grateful for any reports and photos received.
More information about observations
Please report your observations of avalanches or alarm signs, or your estimation of the avalanche danger, or simply send us a picture illustrating the current situation. Your report from the field will be considered along with all the other information when we assess the avalanche danger. It is impossible, however, to reflect the exact content of each individual report in the avalanche bulletin.
The best way to file a report is by completing the interactive form on this page. If your report is to be used in the 5 pm avalanche bulletin, it should be submitted before 2:30 pm if possible. Reports received later will normally be given consideration in the next assessment.
Other reporting options:
- White Risk App
- E-mail to lwp(at)slf.ch
- Freephone number 0800 800 187
No avalanche bulletins are being published at the moment. Nevertheless, you should still stay up to date with the avalanche situation in the mountains, especially if there is fresh snow.
However, the SLF will, by way of exception, also issue avalanche bulletins in the summer in case of heavy snowfall. There are different ways you can be notified when these bulletins based on the snow situation are published:
- by push alert on SLF's free White Risk mobile app: appearing in four languages (English, German, French and Italian), this can be downloaded from iTunes App Store (for iPhones) or Google Play Store (for Android);
- by mobile text message (SMS): please send an SMS with the message START SLF SOMMER to the phone number 9234 – you can cancel this service at any time by sending an SMS with the message STOP SLF SOMMER; cost: CHF 0.20 per SMS;
- via an RSS feed which informs you whenever an avalanche bulletin is published.
Depending on the snow and avalanche situation, the regular publication of avalanche bulletin recommences in November/December.
Have you observed alarm signs or an avalanche?
Your observations can improve the quality of the avalanche bulletin. We are very grateful for any reports and photos received.
More information about observations
Please report your observations of avalanches or alarm signs, or your estimation of the avalanche danger, or simply send us a picture illustrating the current situation. Your report from the field will be considered along with all the other information when we assess the avalanche danger. It is impossible, however, to reflect the exact content of each individual report in the avalanche bulletin.
The best way to file a report is by completing the interactive form on this page. If your report is to be used in the 5 pm avalanche bulletin, it should be submitted before 2:30 pm if possible. Reports received later will normally be given consideration in the next assessment.
Other reporting options:
- White Risk App
- E-mail to lwp(at)slf.ch
- Freephone number 0800 800 187
Danger levels
The SLF uses the five-level European avalanche danger scale to indicate the avalanche danger. The danger level is worked out on the basis of a range of variables, in particular the avalanche triggering probability, the prevalence of avalanche prone locations and the avalanche size. A danger level always applies to a region and not to one particular slope. The danger level given in the avalanche bulletin is always a forecast and should be checked on- site.
Avalanche danger scale
Short version
Danger level | Characteristics | Recommendations for backcountry recreationists |
5 very high | Extraordinary avalanche situation Numerous very large and extremely large natural avalanches can be expected. These can reach roads and settlements in the valley. | You are advised not to engage in winter sports beyond open ski runs and trails. Very rarely forecast. Around 1 % of avalanche fatalities. |
4 high | Very critical avalanche situation Natural and often very large avalanches are likely. Avalanches can easily be triggered on many steep slopes. Remote triggering is typical. Whumpf sounds and shooting cracks occur frequently. | Stay on moderately steep terrain. Heed runout zones of large avalanches. Unexperienced persons should remain on open ski runs and trails. Forecast only on a few days throughout the winter. Around 10 % of avalanche fatalities. |
3 considerable | Critical avalanche situation Whumpf sounds and shooting cracks are typical. Avalanches can easily be triggered, particularly on steep slopes with the aspect and elevation indicated in the avalanche bulletin. Natural avalanches and remote triggering can occur. | The most critical situation for backcountry recreationists. Select best possible route and take action to reduce risks. Avoid very steep slopes with the aspect and elevation indicated in the avalanche bulletin. Unexperienced persons are advised to remain on open ski runs and trails. Forecast for around 30 % of the winter season. Around 50 % of avalanche fatalities. |
2 moderate | Mostly favourable avalanche situation Warning signs can occur in isolated cases. Avalanches can be triggered in particular on very steep slopes with the aspect and elevation indicated in the avalanche bulletin. Relatively large natural avalanches are not to be expected. | Routes should be selected carefully, especially on slopes with the aspect and elevation indicated in the avalanche bulletin. Travel very steep slopes one person at a time. Pay attention to unfavourable snowpack structure (persistent weak layers, old snow problem). Forecast for around 50 % of the winter season. Around 30 % of avalanche fatalities. |
1 low | Generally favourable avalanche situation No warning signs present. Avalanches can only be triggered in isolated cases, in particular on extremely steep slopes. | Travel extremely steep slopes one person at a time and be alert to the danger of falling. Forecast for around 20 % of the winter season. Around 5 % of avalanche fatalities. |
Full description of the European avalanche danger scale
This scale, introduced by the European Avalanche Warning Services in 1993, defines the danger level based on the snowpack stability and the avalanche triggering probability. The full description of the scale also includes other columns that have not been internationally agreed relating to typical characteristics, recommendations and consequences.
European Danger Scale with recommendations and additions (.pdf)
Danger levels – a simplified picture of reality
The avalanche danger does not increase in linear fashion from one level to another, but disproportionately. That includes the following variables:
- if the snowpack stability, and with it also the additional load required to trigger an avalanche, decreases, and the avalanche triggering probability increases;
- if the prevalence of avalanche prone locations increases, meaning that there are more locations where avalanches are released naturally or can be triggered;
- if the avalanche size increases.
If the additional load required to trigger an avalanche decreases and there are also more locations where avalanches can be triggered, the avalanche triggering probability increases. This is also shown by the stability distribution in the chart below.
In a typical case, all these influencing variables change as indicated above. This means that in the case of 'low' avalanche danger, usually only small avalanches are triggered in just a few locations and mostly only due to a high additional load, while in the case of 'high' avalanche danger, a lot of avalanches, some of them very large, are triggered or are released naturally (without human influence).
However, there are also atypical situations that do not fit into this picture. These are detailed in the next section.
Various characteristics of avalanche danger
Also in the case of less typical avalanche situations the danger level is a measure of the order of magnitude of the avalanche danger. These situations are detailed below along with information about their assessment by the avalanche warning service. As these are atypical situations, no list can ever be exhaustive. In atypical situations deviations from the danger level definition are inevitable. These are set out as far as possible in the avalanche bulletin's danger description.
Faceted-crystal snowpack
In the case of low avalanche danger (level 1) the snowpack is normally well bonded and stable. However, after long periods of fine weather with shallow snow, another form of snow occurring in mid-winter which makes slab avalanches virtually impossible is the whole snowpack being loose and transformed into faceted crystals. The snowpack is then very weak and there are also weak layers, but the bonded layer on top (the 'slab') is lacking. With no bonded layer a fracture cannot be propagated, meaning that there is no possibility of a slab avalanche forming. This means there is a low avalanche danger (level 1), despite or precisely because of the very loose snowpack. 'Stable snowpack' means 'not liable to trigger slab avalanches' and does not refer to the hardness of the layers.
This situation is not a good omen for the immediate future, given that as soon as it is snowed on, the fresh-fallen snow and fresh snowdrift result in the creation of a 'slab' where one did not exist before. Underneath this is the loose old snowpack in the form of a substantial weak layer. The avalanche danger will increase significantly, generally resulting in a long-lasting old-snow problem.
Small, easily triggered snowdrift accumulations
Fresh snowdrift accumulations can often be triggered by individual winter sports enthusiasts. The size of the snowdrift accumulations depends not only on the wind but also on the supply of fresh and old snow which can be transported. For only little snow which can be transported, the snowdrift accumulations are usually so small that getting buried by them is unlikely. In this case, level 2 (moderate) is often used despite the high probability of an avalanche release. In such situations the snowdrift accumulations can usually be seen in good visibility by the trained eye. They need to be avoided especially on terrain where there is a danger of falling.
Old-snow problem with a significant weak layer deep down in the snowpack
The more thickly a weak layer is covered, the more difficult it becomes for a fracture to form there. This is most likely to occur in locations where the snow is relatively shallow or in transitions from shallow to deep snow. In the case of an old-snow problem with a significant weak layer deep down in the snowpack, avalanche prone locations are usually relatively rare. However, avalanches often reach large size, and are therefore particularly dangerous for winter sports enthusiasts. Therefore, the avalanche danger in the case of an old snow problem can sometimes be considerable (level 3) even if the avalanche prone locations are fairly rare. An aggravating factor is that the avalanche prone locations are barely recognisable in old snow situations, even to the trained eye. In the case of weak old snow, more fatalities can be expected than in the case of the other avalanche problems (at the same danger level).
'Skier high'
If numerous large and, in many cases, very large natural avalanches can be expected, the avalanche danger is classified as 'high' (level 4). Under such circumstances, exposed locations (usually sections of transport routes, and in isolated cases also buildings) can be put at risk. In addition to this classic 'road high', there is a further variant of this danger level where very large avalanches are hardly expected (e.g. because there is still too little snow at the start of the winter) but a lot of medium and large avalanches are naturally released and can be triggered very easily at multiple locations. In the case of this 'skier high', winter sports enthusiasts are in severe danger away from secured ski runs. By contrast, transport routes are unaffected or only affected in isolated cases.
Avalanche activity in case of wet and gliding snow
Wet-snow avalanches are seldom triggered by people, and in the case of gliding avalanches this is virtually impossible. Therefore, natural triggering is the main cause of such avalanche types even in the when lower danger levels prevail. The maximum possible naturally triggered avalanche activity, based on the defined danger level, relates mainly to wet-snow and gliding-snow conditions and less to conditions involving dry avalanches. In this context large natural avalanches are possible when there is a moderate danger of wet-snow or gliding avalanches. In the case of a situation with dry-snow avalanches, such naturally triggered avalanche activity normally corresponds to a considerable avalanche danger, as then avalanches are also expected to be triggered by individuals.
Change in the avalanche danger as the day progresses
The avalanche danger changes over time and may not reach or overshoot the boundary between one danger level and another within the period of validity of the avalanche bulletin. Ordinarily the danger increases, for example because snowfall or wind, significantly faster than it recedes again.
If the danger level is likely to change during the day, the level published in the avalanche bulletin and the danger description normally show the situation in the morning. The change (often an increase) is indicated in the danger description. Here are some examples:
- "The avalanche danger will increase and reach level 3 (considerable) in the afternoon." In this case, level 2 (moderate) is marked on the hazard map.
- "Danger level 4 (high) will be reached during the morning." In this case, level 4 (high) is marked on the hazard map.
- "As a consequence of daytime warming and solar radiation, wet-snow avalanches can be expected again from the middle of the day below approximately 2400 m." (With no danger level indicated)
If the avalanche danger is assessed to be level 4 (high) or even level 5 (very high) at night, and then one level lower during the day, the morning rule is deviated from. As when transport routes are endangered, the avalanche danger is also significant at night, the higher avalanche level that applies during the night is given in the evening edition. In the morning edition this is then reduced to the level applying in the morning.
Double map
In typical springtime conditions, the danger of wet-snow avalanches along with daytime warming and solar radiation will increase significantly as the day progresses. During the day the danger of dry-snow avalanches will usually only change slightly in these conditions. Thus, while in the morning dry-snow avalanches are the main danger, in the afternoon the main danger is posed by wet-snow avalanches. In this situation, two maps show both the more favourable morning situation (dry-snow avalanches) and the unfavourable situation in the afternoon (wet-snow avalanches as the day progresses). The transition from one map to another cannot be pinned down to a specific time. It depends on the conditions and the altitude and also in particular the aspect. Whereas on east-facing slopes the danger of wet-snow avalanches will already increase during the morning, this usually occurs only later on west-facing slopes.
In special cases a double map is also used if there is a significant danger of gliding avalanches, and this danger is greater, over a wide area, than the danger of dry slab avalanches. It is worth noting in this case that these two dangers do not vary significantly during the day. Therefore, the two avalanche types are possible throughout the day.
Additional information
Avalanche danger and risk
The avalanche bulletin describes the avalanche danger, i.e. the likelihood of a release and the possible size of avalanches in a specific region, but the exact timing of an avalanche being triggered and the actual length of its starting zone and fracture depth cannot be determined.
An avalanche danger only becomes a risk (i.e. a probability that damage will occur) if endangered individuals, animals, forest, infrastructure etc. are in the area of the potential avalanche. In the avalanche bulletin, the avalanche danger is assessed regardless of the presence of endangered individuals or objects, i.e. on weekends with fine weather and weekdays with poor weather alike, and for populated areas and outlying terrain alike.
If an avalanche is released somewhere on a glacier during a snowstorm, there would obviously be an avalanche danger, but there would be no risk if there were no people in the surrounding area. If the same avalanche is released on a popular touring route on a sunny weekend, the risk would be much greater. The danger given in the avalanche bulletin may be the same in both cases, but the risk will be different.
Avalanches are a very special natural hazard, since unlike flash floods or earthquakes the 'perilous process' of an avalanche can be initiated by human activity. If anyone comes onto a dangerous slope, the artificial additional load can trigger an avalanche. In the case of more than 90% of the snow sports enthusiasts buried by a slab avalanche, they triggered the avalanche themselves or it was triggered by another member of their group.
Frequency of danger levels
The most frequently forecasted danger level in the Alps is level 2 (moderate), accounting for almost half of days (per warning region). It thus captures a day with 'average' avalanche danger. Level 3 (considerable) is forecasted on about one third of days. Danger level 4 (high) is only forecasted on 1% of winter days on average, while level 5 (very high) is forecasted even more rarely. In the Jura, the lower danger levels are more frequent.
The avalanche danger will change gradually whereas the scale has levels.
The danger scale has five levels. However, in reality the avalanche danger changes gradually. This means there is a range within each level.
Further Information
Division into regions
For the purposes of the avalanche bulletin, the Swiss Alps are divided in alignment with the warning regions used by the other federal natural hazard agencies (MeteoSwiss, Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN), Swiss Seismological Service (SED)). Groups consisting of several warning regions are formed, generally by applying climatological or political criteria, yielding overarching region names (see the maps below).
Great care is required when interpreting references in the context of backcountry tours in regional border areas. For example, the Jungfrau region is usually accessed from the north (northern flank of the Alps or Bernese Oberland), but the backcountry touring area mostly lies in Valais.
Marginal areas
There are no clearly defined boundaries between two regions with different danger assessments (e.g. different danger levels or different distributions of avalanche prone locations) but instead transitional areas which in many cases cannot be clearly assigned to either avalanche situation. This means that in a marginal area several kilometres wide, it can be assumed that either the more or the less favourite situation may apply.
Those undertaking backcountry ski or snowshoe hiking tours in such areas should therefore consult the avalanche bulletin for both regions in question.
Warning regions (the 149 smallest units)
Northern and southern flanks of the Alps, and the Jura
Main Alpine Ridge, Northern Alpine Ridge and Inneralpine Regions
The Main Alpine Ridge extends from Val Ferret via the Great St Bernard, Monte Rosa, Simplon, Gotthard, Lukmanier, San Bernardino, Maloja and Bernina passes to beyond Val Müstair.
The Northern Alpine Ridge covers a belt running from the Dent du Midi via the Wildstrubel and Jungfrau regions and Gotthard, Tödi and Vorab to Liechtenstein.
The Inneralpine Regions encompass the regions between the Main Alpine Ridge and the Northern Alpine Ridge, namely those of Central Valais, and parts of Northern and Central Grisons and Engadine.
Major political regions
The Grisons southern valleys consist of Val Mesolcina and Val Calanca (collectively Moesano), Val Bregaglia, Val Poschiavo and Val Müstair.
Political subregions 1
Political subregions 2
The Gotthard region consists of Obergoms, the Grimsel region, Urseren, Tavetsch, the Upper Valle Leventina and Val Bedretto.
Division into regions
For the purposes of the avalanche bulletin, the Swiss Alps are divided in alignment with the warning regions used by the other federal natural hazard agencies (MeteoSwiss, Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN), Swiss Seismological Service (SED)). Groups consisting of several warning regions are formed, generally by applying climatological or political criteria, yielding overarching region names (see the maps below).
Great care is required when interpreting references in the context of backcountry tours in regional border areas. For example, the Jungfrau region is usually accessed from the north (northern flank of the Alps or Bernese Oberland), but the backcountry touring area mostly lies in Valais.
Marginal areas
There are no clearly defined boundaries between two regions with different danger assessments (e.g. different danger levels or different distributions of avalanche prone locations) but instead transitional areas which in many cases cannot be clearly assigned to either avalanche situation. This means that in a marginal area several kilometres wide, it can be assumed that either the more or the less favourite situation may apply.
Those undertaking backcountry ski or snowshoe hiking tours in such areas should therefore consult the avalanche bulletin for both regions in question.
Warning regions (the 149 smallest units)
Northern and southern flanks of the Alps, and the Jura
Main Alpine Ridge, Northern Alpine Ridge and Inneralpine Regions
The Main Alpine Ridge extends from Val Ferret via the Great St Bernard, Monte Rosa, Simplon, Gotthard, Lukmanier, San Bernardino, Maloja and Bernina passes to beyond Val Müstair.
The Northern Alpine Ridge covers a belt running from the Dent du Midi via the Wildstrubel and Jungfrau regions and Gotthard, Tödi and Vorab to Liechtenstein.
The Inneralpine Regions encompass the regions between the Main Alpine Ridge and the Northern Alpine Ridge, namely those of Central Valais, and parts of Northern and Central Grisons and Engadine.
Major political regions
The Grisons southern valleys consist of Val Mesolcina and Val Calanca (collectively Moesano), Val Bregaglia, Val Poschiavo and Val Müstair.
Political subregions 1
Political subregions 2
The Gotthard region consists of Obergoms, the Grimsel region, Urseren, Tavetsch, the Upper Valle Leventina and Val Bedretto.
Snow maps
